MIN 88-65 PHX, June 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat PHX 88-65, but PHX's shots were worth 81.1 points to MIN's 67.3.

MIN 88-65 PHX, June 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	58	80	60.7	8/9	6.7	88	67.3
PHX	73	61	77.1	4/5	4.0	65	81.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.