SEA 87-94 ATL, May 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat SEA 94-87, and ATL's shots were worth 92.0 points to SEA's 83.3.

SEA 87-94 ATL, May 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SEA	67	71	67.5	16/20	15.8	87	83.3
ATL	76	77	73.5	17/23	18.5	94	92.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.