LAS 82-88 ATL, May 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat LAS 88-82, and ATL's shots were worth 78.9 points to LAS's 78.3.

LAS 82-88 ATL, May 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAS676865.714/1712.68278.3
ATL647165.617/1713.38878.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.