MIN 82-77 SEA, May 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat SEA 82-77, but SEA's shots were worth 81.6 points to MIN's 77.2.

MIN 82-77 SEA, May 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	68	71	67.4	11/12	9.8	82	77.2
SEA	67	64	67.3	13/18	14.4	77	81.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.