CON 87-109 DAL, May 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat CON 109-87, and DAL's shots were worth 89.2 points to CON's 88.8.

CON 87-109 DAL, May 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON606260.425/3628.48788.8
DAL668465.625/2923.610989.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.