IND 88-90 NYL, May 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYL beat IND 90-88, but IND's shots were worth 101.5 points to NYL's 95.7.

IND 88-90 NYL, May 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	78	77	89.6	11/15	11.9	88	101.5
NYL	63	65	69.4	25/32	26.3	90	95.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.