PHX 89-86 LAS, May 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAS 89-86, but LAS's shots were worth 96.4 points to PHX's 93.4.

PHX 89-86 LAS, May 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX676772.022/2721.48993.4
LAS686675.420/2621.08696.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.