IND 90-91 ATL, May 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat IND 91-90, and ATL's shots were worth 95.7 points to IND's 92.5.

IND 90-91 ATL, May 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND687472.516/2620.09092.5
ATL686670.525/3225.29195.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.