DAL 71-79 SEA, May 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SEA beat DAL 79-71, but DAL's shots were worth 85.7 points to SEA's 78.2.

DAL 71-79 SEA, May 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	73	58	70.8	13/19	14.9	71	85.7
SEA	70	67	63.3	12/19	14.9	79	78.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.