CON 85-90 WAS, May 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. WAS beat CON 90-85, and the shots on each side were worth 91.1.

CON 85-90 WAS, May 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CON666168.124/2923.08591.1
WAS626968.421/2922.79091.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.