PHX 81-59 SEA, May 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat SEA 81-59, but SEA's shots were worth 73.0 points to PHX's 71.8.

PHX 81-59 SEA, May 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	58	68	55.6	13/21	16.2	81	71.8
SEA	63	45	57.1	14/20	15.8	59	73.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All WNBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.