PHI 93-106 DET, October 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat PHI 106-93, but PHI's shots were worth 113.6 points to DET's 112.9.

PHI 93-106 DET, October 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI907996.014/2317.693113.6
DET879093.616/2519.2106112.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.