MIN 117-94 TOR, October 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat TOR 117-94, but TOR's shots were worth 114.2 points to MIN's 109.3.

MIN 117-94 TOR, October 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	77	101	90.6	16/25	18.7	117	109.3
TOR	91	80	98.3	14/21	15.9	94	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.