No. LAL beat UTA 132-123, but UTA's shots were worth 114.3 points to LAL's 111.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 95 | 102 | 93.7 | 21/27 | 20.6 | 123 | 114.3 |
| LAL | 82 | 100 | 80.7 | 32/38 | 30.3 | 132 | 111.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.