UTA 123-132 LAL, October 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat UTA 132-123, but UTA's shots were worth 114.3 points to LAL's 111.0.

UTA 123-132 LAL, October 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA9510293.721/2720.6123114.3
LAL8210080.732/3830.3132111.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.