PHX 131-122 GSW, October 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSW 131-122, but GSW's shots were worth 125.9 points to PHX's 113.5.

PHX 131-122 GSW, October 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	86	114	96.4	17/22	17.1	131	113.5
GSW	91	99	101.2	23/32	24.6	122	125.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.