DEN 141-135 NOP, October 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat NOP 141-135, and DEN's shots were worth 137.1 points to NOP's 131.2.

DEN 141-135 NOP, October 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	99	111	107.3	30/39	29.8	141	137.1
NOP	99	111	107.7	24/30	23.6	135	131.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.