No. HOU beat ATL 121-114, but ATL's shots were worth 121.7 points to HOU's 116.1.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 96 | 99 | 105.4 | 15/21 | 16.3 | 114 | 121.7 |
| HOU | 89 | 100 | 98.0 | 21/23 | 18.1 | 121 | 116.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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