SAC 120-128 POR, October 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat SAC 128-120, and POR's shots were worth 117.2 points to SAC's 107.5.

SAC 120-128 POR, October 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC919283.928/3023.6120107.5
POR9610694.322/3022.9128117.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.