MIL 125-132 CHI, October 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat MIL 132-125, and CHI's shots were worth 136.4 points to MIL's 120.7.

MIL 125-132 CHI, October 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL92111100.914/2619.8125120.7
CHI98104112.728/3023.7132136.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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