MIA 111-128 DET, October 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat MIA 128-111, but MIA's shots were worth 123.9 points to DET's 105.4.

MIA 111-128 DET, October 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	102	93	102.6	18/28	21.4	111	123.9
DET	89	112	90.1	16/20	15.3	128	105.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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