IND 105-121 DAL, October 23, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat IND 121-105, but IND's shots were worth 115.1 points to DAL's 109.6.

IND 105-121 DAL, October 23, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	88	85	94.0	20/28	21.1	105	115.1
DAL	88	102	92.1	19/23	17.5	121	109.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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