WAS 128-116 MIL, October 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. WAS beat MIL 128-116, and WAS's shots were worth 127.7 points to MIL's 110.8.

WAS 128-116 MIL, October 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS869695.832/4131.9128127.7
MIL919793.219/2317.6116110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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