ORL 125-132 ATL, October 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat ORL 132-125, and ATL's shots were worth 126.7 points to ORL's 125.7.

ORL 125-132 ATL, October 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	85	95	95.9	30/39	29.7	125	125.7
ATL	90	102	99.2	30/36	27.6	132	126.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.