OKC 96-84 DEN, October 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat DEN 96-84, and OKC's shots were worth 117.5 points to DEN's 99.7.

OKC 96-84 DEN, October 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	95	83	106.5	13/14	11.0	96	117.5
DEN	82	70	82.9	14/22	16.8	84	99.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.