MIA 106-131 MIN, October 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat MIA 131-106, and MIN's shots were worth 116.5 points to MIA's 101.7.

MIA 106-131 MIN, October 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	81	86	82.2	20/26	19.6	106	101.7
MIN	98	113	95.2	18/29	21.3	131	116.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

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