NYK 100-106 PHI, October 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat NYK 106-100, but NYK's shots were worth 122.6 points to PHI's 119.6.

NYK 100-106 PHI, October 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK9481102.219/2720.4100122.6
PHI898598.721/2720.9106119.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.