ORL 120-132 NYK, December 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat ORL 132-120, but ORL's shots were worth 119.7 points to NYK's 110.0.

ORL 120-132 NYK, December 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	97	103	99.8	17/25	19.9	120	119.7
NYK	84	109	84.8	23/31	25.2	132	110.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.