LAC 103-121 MEM, December 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat LAC 121-103, and MEM's shots were worth 102.9 points to LAC's 99.0.

LAC 103-121 MEM, December 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	80	87	81.3	16/22	17.7	103	99.0
MEM	86	106	89.4	15/17	13.5	121	102.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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