CLE 111-119 CHA, December 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat CLE 119-111, but CLE's shots were worth 131.3 points to CHA's 129.1.

CLE 111-119 CHA, December 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	95	88	108.1	23/29	23.2	111	131.3
CHA	98	103	112.4	16/21	16.7	119	129.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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