WAS 126-130 CLE, December 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat WAS 130-126, and CLE's shots were worth 135.7 points to WAS's 116.0.

WAS 126-130 CLE, December 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	86	100	91.1	26/32	24.8	126	116.0
CLE	97	97	108.1	33/36	27.6	130	135.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.