CHA 126-129 CHI, December 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat CHA 129-126, and CHI's shots were worth 120.4 points to CHA's 117.5.

CHA 126-129 CHI, December 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA97118109.38/108.3126117.5
CHI94114105.415/1915.0129120.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.