SAC 105-136 DEN, December 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat SAC 136-105, and DEN's shots were worth 112.4 points to SAC's 103.9.

SAC 105-136 DEN, December 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC878986.016/2317.9105103.9
DEN8811689.320/2923.1136112.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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