NOP 143-120 POR, December 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat POR 143-120, and NOP's shots were worth 144.6 points to POR's 131.4.

NOP 143-120 POR, December 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	112	128	130.9	15/17	13.7	143	144.6
POR	102	104	114.4	16/22	17.0	120	131.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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