MIL 116-101 BOS, December 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat BOS 116-101, but BOS's shots were worth 116.0 points to MIL's 99.2.

MIL 116-101 BOS, December 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	79	105	88.2	11/14	11.0	116	99.2
BOS	88	82	96.4	19/25	19.5	101	116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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