HOU 115-113 LAC, December 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat LAC 115-113, and HOU's shots were worth 121.3 points to LAC's 108.4.

HOU 115-113 LAC, December 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	93	98	105.3	17/21	16.0	115	121.3
LAC	78	92	87.9	21/26	20.5	113	108.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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