OKC 138-89 PHX, December 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat PHX 138-89, and OKC's shots were worth 108.0 points to PHX's 101.5.

OKC 138-89 PHX, December 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	88	126	97.3	12/13	10.7	138	108.0
PHX	84	76	88.6	13/16	12.9	89	101.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.