TOR 101-117 NYK, December 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat TOR 117-101, but TOR's shots were worth 121.0 points to NYK's 108.8.

TOR 101-117 NYK, December 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	90	89	106.8	12/18	14.2	101	121.0
NYK	80	100	88.0	17/28	20.8	117	108.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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