SAS 118-128 DEN, April 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat SAS 128-118, and DEN's shots were worth 127.8 points to SAS's 124.8.

SAS 118-128 DEN, April 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	99	105	110.8	13/18	13.9	118	124.8
DEN	100	111	110.0	17/22	17.7	128	127.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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