MIN 132-126 NOP, April 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat NOP 132-126, but NOP's shots were worth 150.9 points to MIN's 137.0.

MIN 132-126 NOP, April 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN89100103.432/4333.6132137.0
NOP10795121.031/3829.8126150.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.