DAL 149-128 CHI, April 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat CHI 149-128, but CHI's shots were worth 138.5 points to DAL's 136.6.

DAL 149-128 CHI, April 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	100	126	116.0	23/27	20.6	149	136.6
CHI	106	114	124.0	14/19	14.5	128	138.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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