IND 121-133 DET, April 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat IND 133-121, and DET's shots were worth 119.3 points to IND's 116.5.

IND 121-133 DET, April 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND90105100.616/2015.9121116.5
DET89115103.118/2216.2133119.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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