BOS 113-108 ORL, April 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat ORL 113-108, but ORL's shots were worth 118.5 points to BOS's 109.5.

BOS 113-108 ORL, April 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	87	91	91.9	22/22	17.6	113	109.5
ORL	91	84	94.7	24/30	23.7	108	118.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.