DEN 127-107 OKC, April 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat OKC 127-107, but OKC's shots were worth 117.8 points to DEN's 111.6.

DEN 127-107 OKC, April 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	93	115	101.2	12/13	10.3	127	111.6
OKC	99	98	108.9	9/12	9.0	107	117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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