HOU 132-136 MIN, April 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat HOU 136-132, but HOU's shots were worth 114.3 points to MIN's 110.1.

HOU 132-136 MIN, April 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	87	110	92.4	22/28	22.0	132	114.3
MIN	89	117	90.8	19/25	19.3	136	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.