CHI 103-127 ORL, April 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat CHI 127-103, and ORL's shots were worth 133.8 points to CHI's 124.5.

CHI 103-127 ORL, April 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI8786104.517/2620.0103124.5
ORL94111114.916/2419.0127133.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.