No. LAL beat GSW 119-103, but GSW's shots were worth 91.7 points to LAL's 88.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW | 81 | 91 | 82.4 | 12/12 | 9.3 | 103 | 91.7 |
| LAL | 80 | 114 | 82.7 | 5/8 | 5.8 | 119 | 88.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.