TOR 128-114 MIA, April 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat MIA 128-114, and TOR's shots were worth 121.7 points to MIA's 108.5.

TOR 128-114 MIA, April 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	86	101	95.4	27/34	26.2	128	121.7
MIA	82	106	97.7	8/14	10.8	114	108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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