SAS 112-101 POR, April 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat POR 112-101, but POR's shots were worth 121.4 points to SAS's 117.8.

SAS 112-101 POR, April 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS8897102.715/1915.1112117.8
POR9396113.55/107.9101121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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