DET 137-111 MIL, April 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat MIL 137-111, and DET's shots were worth 120.8 points to MIL's 113.5.

DET 137-111 MIL, April 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET8411097.827/3023.0137120.8
MIL868992.422/2821.0111113.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.