LAC 116-103 DAL, April 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DAL 116-103, but DAL's shots were worth 127.2 points to LAC's 125.1.

LAC 116-103 DAL, April 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC9296101.720/2823.4116125.1
DAL10076104.827/2822.4103127.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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